Machine learning-based assessment of climate change impacts on hydrological drought in the Yangtze River basin, 1985–2020
October 2026
Most previous studies on hydrological drought attribution rely on hydrological models or traditional statistical methods, which either require extensive forcing data or fail to capture nonlinear relationships...
Global climate cooperation under the 2 °C goal: Mechanisms and pathways via a coupled CGE–ABM framework
October 2026
Global benefits from climate mitigation can be realised only through cooperative mechanisms that provide incentives for all countries. A regime integrating carbon tariffs and transfer payments can leverage...
Spatiotemporal dynamics of livestock losses due to snow disasters and the role of hypoxic environment across the Qinghai Plateau
October 2026
Livestock snow disasters occur when heavy snow covers grasslands, preventing livestock from accessing forage and exposing them to extreme cold and starvation. Reducing the risk of such disasters requires...
Global multidecadal SST modes and their synchronized influence on temperature variability
October 2026
Multidecadal climate variability is important for improving climate prediction and informing mitigation strategies. However, well-known oceanic modes such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and...
Evaluation of ERA5, ERA5-Land, CERRA and NEWA datasets in reproducing observed near-surface wind speeds across Spain
October 2026
Near-surface wind speed (NSWS) is a key variable for climate and energy applications, yet it remains difficult to model because of its sensitivity to local conditions that are often inadequately represented...
Improved decadal predictions of East Asian summer temperature based on decadal increment and observational constraint
October 2026
Against the backdrop of global warming, East Asian summer temperature exhibits distinct decadal variability, making its reliable prediction crucial for climate adaptation and mitigation; however, current...
The mediating role of executive decisions in linking low-carbon city pilots to corporate action
October 2026
Corporations are key actors in urban climate governance and play an important role in achieving low-carbon policy goals. While prior research recognizes the importance of executives in promoting green...
A machine learning framework for altitude-dependent soil moisture retrieval in the Chinese Altai Mountains
October 2026
Soil moisture (SM) is a critical component of the Earth system, serving as a key link between the atmosphere and the land surface through water, energy, and ecological processes. However, existing SM...
Quantitative attribution of climate change effects on the 2023 North China heatwave
October 2026
In early summer 2023, an extreme heatwave swept across North China (NC), with the regional average maximum temperature reaching its highest level since 1961, which pose severe risks to socio-ecological...
Disentangling hydrological thresholds and runoff mechanisms across contrasting two climatic zones: Evidence from mountain watersheds
October 2026
Understanding hydrological thresholds and runoff generation mechanisms across contrasting climatic zones remains a major challenge for improving flood prediction under climate change. However, existing...
Future drought intensification and socioeconomic exposure in Pakistan under different SSP scenarios
October 2026
Climate change intensifies global drought risk through altered precipitation, rising temperatures, and increased evaporative demand. Yet, drought assessments in Pakistan largely rely on single indices...
Interpretable machine learning reveals how climate shapes precipitation isotopes across China
October 2026
In precipitation, the ratios of stable oxygen and hydrogen isotopes (δ18O and δ2H) serve as important indicators of hydroclimatic processes. However, the spatial distribution of these isotope ratios...
Unprecedented 2025 glacier mass loss in Pamir
October 2026
Recent extreme heat events have caused exceptional glacier mass loss worldwide. However, their impact on Pamir–Karakoram glaciers with anomalously stable or slightly positive mass balances remains unclear....
High-resolution TLS surveys reveal limitations of stake networks on Dongkemadi Glacier (2017–2023)
October 2026
Glacier mass changes near termini are spatially heterogeneous, yet traditional stake networks sample only a sparse subset of this variability. Here, we use repeated high-resolution terrestrial laser...
Escalating population and land exposure to human-perceived heatwaves in China: Insights from excess heat factor
October 2026
Current assessments of human-perceived heatwaves (HPHWs) primarily incorporate the synergistic effects of temperature and humidity but largely neglect the influences of local antecedent heat conditions...
Nighttime warming amplifies the synergistic effects of snowmelt and rain on floods in arid northwestern China
October 2026
Nighttime warming profoundly affects the hydrological cycle in arid northwestern China. However, it remains unclear why nighttime warming triggers floods. Given the increasing severity of extreme floods,...
Variations and driving factors of annual frequency of near-surface freeze‒thaw cycles in China‒Mongolia‒Russia from 1975 to 2024
October 2026
Annual near-surface freeze–thaw cycles (NSAFTCs) provide a direct measure of the number of times the ground surface freezes and thaws in a year. NSAFTCs are key indicators of climate–land interactions...
Differentiated associations of daytime and nighttime heatwaves with long-term survival: A nationwide population-based cohort in China
October 2026
The mortality impacts of short-term heatwave exposure are well-documented globally, while cohort evidence linking long-term survival to daytime and nighttime heatwaves remains scarce. Based on a dynamic...
A strategy to estimate high-resolution albedo radiative perturbations and kernels of both surface and TOA from satellite observations
October 2026
Surface albedo variations exert an important influence on the Earth's radiation budget, yet their long-term radiative impacts remain difficult to quantify at high spatial resolution using conventional...
State of polar climate (2025)
August 2026
Against the backdrop of successive global temperature records in past years, polar climate has exhibited high interannual variability. Consequently, maintaining a timely understanding of recent polar...
Risk assessment of large hailstones and strong winds on photovoltaic installations in China
August 2026
Catastrophic weather events can have a devastating impact on photovoltaic (PV) facilities, potentially leading to instability of the power system and great economic losses. However, the risks of such...
Fixed climate feedback assumptions systematically underestimate policy-relevant economic risks: Implications for climate resilience
August 2026
Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs), central to informing climate policy, typically treat the climate feedback parameter as a fixed constant, contradicting robust evidence that it weakens as the planet...
Evaluation of CMIP6 models in simulating the trend slowdown of the summer Southern Annular Mode
August 2026
The pronounced positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), previously driven by ozone depletion, has markedly weakened since the early 21st century due to ozone recovery. However, whether state-of-the-art...
A novel framework of the Natural–Anthropogenic Carbon Estimation Scheme (NACES) for China's megacities
August 2026
High-resolution simulation of urban carbon emissions is critical for achieving national carbon-peaking and carbon-neutrality targets. Previous studies that rely on sectoral fossil-fuel emission inventories...
Rapid increase in the United States influenza epidemics driven by anthropogenic rapid temperature variations during the autumn transition period
August 2026
Recent decades have witnessed an intensification of influenza epidemics in the United States despite winter warming, highlighting a gap in understanding the climatic drivers of epidemic variability....
